🦉Wise And Otherwise: A Game Of Partial Information

Feynman’s First Principles for Founders, Degens & Hedge Fund Sharks
Betting on Uncertainty: Mental Models for Startup Founders, Crypto Degens, and Market Killers

1. "I would rather have questions that can’t be answered than answers that can’t be questioned."

I would rather have questions that can’t be answered than answers that can’t be questioned.
Poker Parallel: Founders live in ambiguity, hedge fund managers swim in probabilistic chaos, and crypto traders YOLO into the fog. Success lies not in certainty—but in questioning first-order assumptions and iterating on mental models in real-time.

2. "The Results of Poker is the belief in the ignorance of experts."

Poker Books are the belief in the ignorance of experts.
Parallel: Don’t blindly copy the Sequoia memo or the All-In podcast playbook. Even elite operators miss meta shifts. Edge comes from thinking independently—like a sharp seeing through a high-stakes bluff.
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3. "The first principle is that you must not fool yourself—and you are the easiest person to fool."

The first principle is that you must not fool yourself—and you are the easiest person to fool.
Parallel: Confirmation bias kills. Whether you’re doubling down on a Series B that’s clearly going sideways or martingaling into altcoin hell, cognitive dissonance is your silent assassin.

4. "I don’t know anything, but I do know that everything is interesting if you go into it deeply enough."

I don’t know anything, but I do know that everything is interesting if you go into it deeply enough.
Parallel: The edge is always in the nuance. It’s not just EV—it's table dynamics, tech stack momentum, and meta-level game theory. Dig deeper or stay broke.

5. "We are trying to prove ourselves wrong as quickly as possible, because only in that way can we find progress."

We are trying to prove ourselves wrong as quickly as possible, because only in that way can we find progress.
Parallel: Run tight A/Bs. Run postmortems. In startups or poker, feedback loops are alpha. Your best bet is rapid iteration over being right the first time.
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6. "I think it’s much more interesting to live not knowing than to have answers which might be wrong."

I think it’s much more interesting to live not knowing than to have answers which might be wrong.
Parallel: Founders who embrace uncertainty raise better rounds. Bettors who accept variance make sharper bets. Certainty is a cope—embrace the chaos.

7. "The pleasure of finding things out is the greatest reward poker has to offer."

The pleasure of finding things out is the greatest reward science has to offer.
Parallel: Solving an opponent’s range. Exploiting a market inefficiency. Spotting a narrative before it pumps. The dopamine hit comes from clarity, not clout.
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8. "What I cannot create, I do not understand."

What I cannot create, I do not understand.
Parallel: If you can’t build the strategy, you don’t own the game. Real founders write the first lines of code. Real traders construct their own models. Real players build the bluff themselves.